Aletta's formation in Eastern Pacific ends Earth's 41-day tropical cyclone drought

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 13:07:GMT den 15. mai 2012

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The first Eastern Pacific tropical storm of the 2012 hurricane season is Tropical Storm Aletta, located about 650 mi south-southwest of Manzanillo Mexico. Aletta was named at 03 UTC May 15, right at the official May 15 beginning of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season. The storm is headed west-northwest away from Mexico, and will not trouble any land areas. It is unusual to get a tropical storm forming this early in the year in the Eastern Pacific; since record keeping began in 1949, there have only been two that have formed by May 15--Hurricane Alma of 1990, and an unnamed 1996 storm. Aletta will not live for long--the storm is headed towards a region with high wind shear and cooler waters that should be able to destroy it late this week.


Figure 1. Morning satellite photo of Tropical Storm Aletta.

Earth's longest tropical storm-free period in at least 70 years
The formation of Aletta ends a 41-day streak without a tropical storm anywhere in the world. According to the UK Met Office, the 41-day period storm-less period is the longest span Earth has gone without a tropical storm in at least 70 years. The last time there were as many as 38 consecutive storm-less days was in 1944. Prior to Aletta, the last tropical storm on the planet was Tropical Storm Daphne in the South Pacific, which dissipated 06 UTC April 3, 2012. April is usually is the quietest month globally for tropical cyclones. The long storm-less period comes in the midst of a very quiet two-year period of global tropical cyclone activity. According to Dr. Ryan Maue, who specializes in tracking global tropical cyclone activity, 2010 and 2011 saw a total of 146 global tropical cyclones--the lowest two-year total since satellite observations began in 1970. The 24-month period April 2010 - March 2012 had 141 global tropical storms, which is also a record low. That's quite a turnaround from 2004 - 2005, which saw near-record high levels of global tropical cyclone activity.

The Atlantic is quiet
The disturbance near the Azores that developed on Saturday, Invest 92L, has weakened and is no longer being tracked by NHC. The models have backed off on their predictions of a potential subtropical storm developing over the Western Caribbean or waters near Florida this weekend, and none of the computer models is predicting tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic over the next seven days. If something did develop, the most likely location would be along an old frontal boundary between the Bahamas and Bermuda, early next week.

Jeff Masters

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447. PedleyCA
17:07:GMT den 16. mai 2012
New Blog
Member Since: februar 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4944
446. hydrus
15:15:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Might have something to watch in a week or so..
Member Since: september 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
445. hydrus
15:11:GMT den 16. mai 2012
GOES Imager Spectral Difference
May 16, 2012 - 13:45 UTCNSSL WRF 4 km grid initialized 00 UTC May 16 2012

36 h Total Precipitation (mm)
Member Since: september 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
444. hydrus
15:04:GMT den 16. mai 2012
This shows the Gulf Stream better..Swimming off of Jersey anyone.?...no...
Member Since: september 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
443. hydrus
14:55:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting ProgressivePulse:
Can't say that I would completely rule out the Western Caribbean thought "Just" because the long range models have backed off. They can just as easily hop back on the bandwagon. This is the most convection I've seen down there in a long time. I'm surely not saying it will however, I'm not saying it won't either.


Thw Western Caribbean is certainly ready for development temperature wise. The shear forecast looks somewhat favorable, and if we get some disturbance or decent low pressure there, we could have something significant.
Member Since: september 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 19606
442. weatherbro
13:30:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Here's the updated HPC preliminaries...

...SW Atlantic low will cut-off near Cape Hatteras with front still prognosed to stall across Cuba...

Saturday


Sunday


Monday


...Before backing up to Central Florida Tuesday/Wednesday of next week.
Tuesday


Wednesday
Member Since: mai 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1214
441. wunderkidcayman
13:17:GMT den 16. mai 2012
el nino is when you reach +0.5 and higher neutral is between +0.5 and -0.5

on other not we have purple in the W caribbean




anyway I am out going on a fishing trip before bad weather catches up with us

but before I go I want to say I still think there is a chance for us to have a TD/ weak TS in the caribbean
Member Since: juni 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 9595
440. ncstorm
12:57:GMT den 16. mai 2012


Member Since: august 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13481
439. stillwaiting
12:22:GMT den 16. mai 2012
morning wunderbloggers!!
wxbro:florida's rainy season is driven by a deep layer SE flow,so troughyness over florida is not usually our rainy season/pattern,actually more driven by high pressure over the bahamas.
Largo:big rains and storm much more likely tonight around midnight- thurs am,im expecting .50-1 inch totals averaged along coastal and inland areas,also a possiblity of some seabreeze storms along the coast movingbquickly inland over the next 4-5 hrs!inland locations expect isolated severe possible today 2-8pm as well
Member Since: Oktober 5, 2007 Posts: 20 Comments: 4970
438. StormTracker2K
12:09:GMT den 16. mai 2012
There some rain in near Tampa.


Member Since: Oktober 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
437. StormTracker2K
12:08:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Well, I'm off to school...again. English I final today. Watch 92E for me, guys.



Good luck buddy! I sure you will get an A.
Member Since: Oktober 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
436. TropicalAnalystwx13
12:05:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Well, I'm off to school...again. English I final today. Watch 92E for me, guys.

Member Since: juli 6, 2010 Posts: 109 Comments: 30287
435. MahFL
12:00:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:
When was the last time we saw a radar image of FL showing a large shield of rain this early in the morning.



It's been a long time, bring it on !
Member Since: juni 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2912
434. MahFL
11:58:GMT den 16. mai 2012
I got 1.25 more inches of rain yesterday, the grass is looking quite lush and green now.
Member Since: juni 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2912
433. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:57:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting GTcooliebai:
If I am reading this chart correctly we are on the threshold of an El Nino.



More El Nino Southern Oscillation outlooks

We are in the Neutral phase right now. If we manage to reach El Niño, which there is a high chance we will, it will be when we reach 0.5 °C. We are currently .5 °C lower than that at 0.0 °C.
Member Since: juli 6, 2010 Posts: 109 Comments: 30287
432. GTcooliebai
11:55:GMT den 16. mai 2012
If I am reading this chart correctly we are on the threshold of an El Nino.



More El Nino Southern Oscillation outlooks
Member Since: august 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
431. StormTracker2K
11:52:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Hey Largo look as this line forming our in the Gulf. I bet this builds SE as the day goes on.

Member Since: Oktober 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
430. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:52:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Welcome, Invest 92E.

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_ep922012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201205161137
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 92, 2012, DB, O, 2012051606, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP922012
EP, 92, 2012051606, , BEST, 0, 97N, 976W, 25, 0, DB
Member Since: juli 6, 2010 Posts: 109 Comments: 30287
429. LargoFl
11:50:GMT den 16. mai 2012
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
729 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

FLZ028-128-161215-
INLAND TAYLOR FL-COASTAL TAYLOR FL-
729 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR TAYLOR COUNTY...

* UNTIL 815 AM EDT

AT 728 AM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF STEINHATCHEE...OR NEAR HOWELL
PLACE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THE KEATON BEACH
MARINE OBSERVATION MEASURED A WIND GUST TO 32 MPH.

ALSO...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER
ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 2970 8350 2973 8357 2975 8357 2976 8360
2981 8360 2989 8365 2991 8337 2989 8335
2982 8335 2982 8332 2978 8332 2975 8334
2967 8336 2967 8346
TIME...MOT...LOC 1129Z 275DEG 11KT 2978 8353

$$

08-LAMERS
Member Since: august 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33465
428. StormTracker2K
11:49:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting weatherbro:


ok I consent:) but it's not just Florida but most of the SE states.


I think what you were seeing was an old forecast because the models didn't start showing this change until Monday night.
Member Since: Oktober 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
427. LargoFl
11:48:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Member Since: august 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33465
426. StormTracker2K
11:47:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting weatherbro:
I'm wondering...If El Ninos of all varieties(east, central, west-based) give Florida a wet May, Why was May of 2006 dry?


Good question as not only was May dry that year went down as the top 10 driest ever in orlando while 2009 overall was wet but usually El-nino years bring above average rain to FL. May averages 3.50" and many areas yesterday had 2" to 3" and this could be trend everyday this week.
Member Since: Oktober 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
425. weatherbro
11:46:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Good Morning! First of all the models do not clear us out by Friday. We are in the rain for a long time.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
345 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012


THURS-FRI...PATTERN REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR ANOTHER DAY OF HIGH
SHOWER/STORM COVERAGE ON THURSDAY. LINGERING MOIST AIR MASS OVER THE
AREA WITH APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH AND UPPER LEVEL 90 KT JET.
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE STORM COVERAGE A LITTLE LOWER ON FRIDAY
IN THE WAKE OF THIS FEATURE/SOME NVA OVER THE AREA. AM HESITANT TO
SCALE POPS BACK TOO MUCH GIVEN THE TROFFING ALOFT AND LINGERING
MOISTURE...SO FOR NOW HAVE INDICATED 70 POPS THURSDAY THEN POPS IN
THE CHANCE/SCATTERED CATEGORY FOR FRIDAY. MAXES IN MID/UPPER 80S AND
MINS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 60S.

SAT-TUE...00Z RUNS OF GFS/ECMWF STILL INDICATE A 500 MB LOW OVER
NORTH FL/PANHANDLE THIS WEEKEND WITH AREA INFLUENCED BY TROFFINESS
ALOFT/UNSETTLED PATTERN PERSISTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
RELATIVELY
LIGHT SURFACE WINDS WITH WEAK INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING OVER THE
PENINSULA FROM CARIBBEAN. MODELS STILL HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES IN
SPECIFICS AND FOR NOW WILL KEEP POPS IN CHANCE/SCT CAT DAYTIME AND
ISOLD/SLIGHT CHANCE NIGHT THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. CLOUDS AND
PRECIP EXPECTED TO KEEP TEMPS NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW CLIMO VALUES
FOR LATE MAY.



ok I consent:) but it's not just Florida but most of the SE states.
Member Since: mai 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1214
424. GTcooliebai
11:45:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting pottery:
Trinidad.
It's raining again.
How unusual.....
LOL...Good morning Pottery.
Member Since: august 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
423. GeoffreyWPB
11:44:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Member Since: september 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10589
422. Tropicsweatherpr
11:43:GMT den 16. mai 2012
92E is born:

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_ep922012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201205161137
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 92, 2012, DB, O, 2012051606, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP922012
EP, 92, 2012051606, , BEST, 0, 97N, 976W, 25, 0, DB
Member Since: april 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 13334
421. weatherbro
11:42:GMT den 16. mai 2012
I'm wondering...If El Ninos of all varieties(east, central, west-based) give Florida a wet May, Why was May of 2006 dry?
Member Since: mai 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1214
420. LargoFl
11:39:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Notice two BIG blobs of rain in the gulf coming into Florida..there is a dry spot inbetween..thats me in tampa bay....geez Tampa..Lower the shields..LET this rain in please.........................
Member Since: august 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33465
419. pottery
11:39:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Trinidad.
It's raining again.
How unusual.....
Member Since: Oktober 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23105
418. LargoFl
11:36:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:
When was the last time we saw a radar image of FL showing a large shield of rain this early in the morning.

amazing i went out for the paper and there where 5 lil drops of moisture on my windshield..can i say..we MIGHT get some rain today? lol..yesss
Member Since: august 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33465
417. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:34:GMT den 16. mai 2012
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED MAY 16 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ALETTA...LOCATED ABOUT 770 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 525 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO HAS INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
Member Since: juli 6, 2010 Posts: 109 Comments: 30287
416. StormTracker2K
11:30:GMT den 16. mai 2012
When was the last time we saw a radar image of FL showing a large shield of rain this early in the morning.

Member Since: Oktober 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
415. GTcooliebai
11:29:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Looks like Bud could be the first landfalling tropical storm of the season in the EPAC.

Member Since: august 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
414. StormTracker2K
11:28:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting LargoFl:


Man that rain is getting close to you.

Member Since: Oktober 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
413. StormTracker2K
11:25:GMT den 16. mai 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND WEAK SURFACE WINDS REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. WITH MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING
ACROSS THE PENINSULA THIS MORNING...THE BEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS INTO THE AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO BE IN AREAS THAT SEE
MORE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND RECEIVE ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING.

BOTH THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ACTIVITY DEVELOPING ALONG THE EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE AS WELL AS MOVING EASTWARDS ACROSS THE STATE FROM THE GULF.
STORMS WILL TEND TO MOVE NORTHEAST BACK TOWARD THE COAST AT 10 TO
15 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING.

THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND TEMPORARY
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS FROM TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES AN HOUR...ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS THAT SAW HEAVY RAINFALL
ON TUESDAY. STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

Member Since: Oktober 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
412. weatherbro
11:24:GMT den 16. mai 2012
I don't see any troughs on top of Florida...

Friday



Saturday



Sunday

Member Since: mai 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1214
411. StormTracker2K
11:23:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting weatherbro:


That's a bit premature to say as models clear us out by Friday behind a late season front. So whoever wrote that needs to do the math lol.


Good Morning! First of all the models do not clear us out by Friday. We are in the rain for a long time.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
345 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012


THURS-FRI...PATTERN REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR ANOTHER DAY OF HIGH
SHOWER/STORM COVERAGE ON THURSDAY. LINGERING MOIST AIR MASS OVER THE
AREA WITH APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH AND UPPER LEVEL 90+KT JET.
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE STORM COVERAGE A LITTLE LOWER ON FRIDAY
IN THE WAKE OF THIS FEATURE/SOME NVA OVER THE AREA. AM HESITANT TO
SCALE POPS BACK TOO MUCH GIVEN THE TROFFING ALOFT AND LINGERING
MOISTURE...SO FOR NOW HAVE INDICATED 70 POPS THURSDAY THEN POPS IN
THE CHANCE/SCATTERED CATEGORY FOR FRIDAY. MAXES IN MID/UPPER 80S AND
MINS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 60S.

SAT-TUE...00Z RUNS OF GFS/ECMWF STILL INDICATE A 500 MB LOW OVER
NORTH FL/PANHANDLE THIS WEEKEND WITH AREA INFLUENCED BY TROFFINESS
ALOFT/UNSETTLED PATTERN PERSISTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
RELATIVELY
LIGHT SURFACE WINDS WITH WEAK INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING OVER THE
PENINSULA FROM CARIBBEAN. MODELS STILL HAVE SOME DIFFERENCES IN
SPECIFICS AND FOR NOW WILL KEEP POPS IN CHANCE/SCT CAT DAYTIME AND
ISOLD/SLIGHT CHANCE NIGHT THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. CLOUDS AND
PRECIP EXPECTED TO KEEP TEMPS NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW CLIMO VALUES
FOR LATE MAY.

Member Since: Oktober 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
410. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:23:GMT den 16. mai 2012
The disturbance west of Aletta has consolidated quickly overnight.

Probably worth of 20% at the next TWO.

Member Since: juli 6, 2010 Posts: 109 Comments: 30287
409. weatherbro
11:20:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting xcool:
I seethe forecast models have backed off development


Yep...Except for the southwestern Atlantic(though even that's ify right now).
Member Since: mai 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1214
408. GeoffreyWPB
11:20:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Miami NWS Discussion

THERE IS LESS CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST DUE TO THE
EFFECT OF AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE THAT REMAINS
DETACHED OF THE WESTERLIES FROM THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND OVER THE
SE US. FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS, THE GFS AND ECMWF DISAGREED ON THE
PRECIPITATION FORECAST...WITH THE GFS FORECASTING A DRIER WEEKEND.
HOWEVER, THE CURRENT FORECAST SHOWS BOTH MODELS INDICATING THAT
PLENTY OF MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO STAY OVER PARTS OF THE SE US AND
FLORIDA. WITH WINDS A BIT MORE EASTERLY ON THE WEEKEND THIS SHOULD
MAINTAIN MOST OF THE AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER THE CENTRAL OR
WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA...BUT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND
ABUNDANT MOISTURE COULD LEAD TO SOME SHOWERS NEAR THE EAST COAST
METRO AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND.
Member Since: september 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10589
407. weatherbro
11:16:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting ProgressivePulse:
There was an argument here, go figure, about weather or not the rainy season started in FL or not. I think this was posted yesterday on the NWS site.

"Rainy Season 2012 Underway

The daily cycle of showers and thunderstorms which defines the South Florida rainy season has begun earlier than normal this year. This year%u2019s rainy season started on Tuesday, May 8th which is almost two weeks earlier than the median start date of May 20th and the earliest start since 2003."


That's a bit premature to say as models clear us out by Friday behind a late season front. So whoever wrote that needs to do the math lol.
Member Since: mai 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1214
406. LargoFl
11:12:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Member Since: august 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33465
405. LargoFl
11:11:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting ProgressivePulse:
There was an argument here, go figure, about weather or not the rainy season started in FL or not. I think this was posted yesterday on the NWS site.

"Rainy Season 2012 Underway

The daily cycle of showers and thunderstorms which defines the South Florida rainy season has begun earlier than normal this year. This year’s rainy season started on Tuesday, May 8th which is almost two weeks earlier than the median start date of May 20th and the earliest start since 2003."
Member Since: august 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33465
404. MahFL
11:10:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting BobWallace:..

EVs are just so cheap to drive that people will change what they want to drive...


"Electric-car sales fall in April"
"April Sales of Electric Cars Fall Despite High Gas Prices in USA"
"Ford Motor Co. sold no Focus Electrics for the third straight month"

I think your living in la la land.......
Member Since: juni 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2912
403. hurricanehunter27
11:10:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting percylives:


Hurricanehunter, my latest readings about Japan is that they have shutdown their last operating reactor. The Japanese are keeping them in case they need the power but are rapidly discarding the technology except for emergencies. Why? I suspect it is because they now know the real cost of nuclear power better than the rest of us. A little further speculation: Japan will become a major market for wind turbines in the near future.
Japan has not permintly shut them down. They are currently all going through matince and upgrades. But most of them will be kept off line from public pressures. It's public fear. Got to keep the populous happy.
Member Since: juli 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3813
402. ProgressivePulse
11:06:GMT den 16. mai 2012
401. GeoffreyWPB
10:57:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Member Since: september 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10589
400. ProgressivePulse
10:56:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Looks like a wet one...



Wet week ahead. Weekend as well if the low fails to develop in the Western Atlantic as the frontal boundary will remain stalled over the area.
Member Since: august 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
399. GeoffreyWPB
10:54:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Looks like a wet one...

Member Since: september 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10589
398. ProgressivePulse
10:49:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Can't say that I would completely rule out the Western Caribbean thought "Just" because the long range models have backed off. They can just as easily hop back on the bandwagon. This is the most convection I've seen down there in a long time. I'm surely not saying it will however, I'm not saying it won't either.


Member Since: august 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
397. MahFL
10:49:GMT den 16. mai 2012
Quoting percylives:


Hurricanehunter, my wife and I live in an old farmhouse in the country of central VA. Last month we did not take any vacations, were here every day and our total electric usage for the month was 258 kilowatt-hours, less than 10 kilowatt-hours per day. All of our appliances are totally electric and we heat the house (little needed last month) with wood.

Over the past year our greatest monthly usage was January 2012, 677 kilowatt-hours. Our average monthly usage for the period 5/11 to 4/12 was 422.25 kilowatt-hours. Yes, we are conscious of our usage and actively try to keep it down.

It can be done.


Whats your $ usage per year for wood, and does it come from a renewable source ?
Member Since: juni 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2912

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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.