TampaSpin's Weather Blog

TORNADOS LIKELY IN FLORIDA TODAY WITH SNOW IN THE NORTH!!

By: TampaSpin, 14:05:GMT den 30. november 2008



MANY PEOPLE HAVE DIFFERENT FAITHS, BACKGROUNDS, AND ORGINS THAT READ MY BLOG. JUST BECAUSE ONE SAYS MERRY CHRISTMAS DOES NOT MEAN YOU ARE DISRESPECTED. I HOPE ALL UNDERSTAND THAT!!



visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON



****SONG POSTED****
Faith Hill - Where Are You Christmas

Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

FAA Delays at Major US Airports



SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Last Fromal Day of the Tropical Season!!!!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---NHC has nothing of interest to look at in Graphic 1. But, the tailend of this front into the Carribean could result in some activity in about 5-7 days!

OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours!


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

SV GRAPHIC 1


SV GRAPHIC 2


SV GRAPHIC 3


SV GRAPHIC 4


SV GRAPHIC 5


SV GRAPHIC 6

Day 1 Text Link Day 3 Text Link

SV GRAPHIC 7


SV GRAPHIC 8


SV GRAPHIC 9



SV GRAPHIC 10

Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings

SV GRAPHIC 11


SV GRAPHIC 12


SV GRAPHIC 13
GFS MODEL

GFSx MODEL

NAM MODEL


SV GRAPHIC 14
Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 15
Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 16
Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 17


SV GRAPHIC 18


SV GRAPHIC 19


SV GRAPHIC 20
Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 21
Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 22
Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 23


WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---Rough day for Travelers today in the MidWest, North, SouthEast, and East Coast. I posted a live Airport Delay Graphic at the top of this Blog. I warned on my Blog a week ago of what i was seeing developing as a Major Winter Storm at the end of the Thanksgiving going home travel time. Wow is it coming together into a strong Event that will produce delays in Travel for Sunday and Monday!
We have a very severe weather event today in Florida. The worst thing is the rising of the sun heating up over land and making air rise before the front moves thru the center and Southern part of Florida. Here is the setup. Look at Graphic 5 and you will see a very strong Subtropical Jet in the South. The Northern Jet is colliding and Dipping south with a low currently positioned near central Indiana. A secondary low is froming along the Front and will move up the East coast as a NorEaster. This secondary low is forming near Northern Florida. Combined with the Jet Stream and a Strong High located in the Bahammas, the pressure gradiant will become very strong. Look at Graphic 10 how tight the Isobars over Florida is getting. Putting all of this together is so unstable combined with the heating of the day is spelling very severe weather conditions for Flordia today. I expect to see a very large outbreak of Tornados today with this much instablility that is developing. Please have your Weather Radios on and open up the Weather Warning Link at the bottom of this section.
The MidWest, NorthEast, and as far south as possibly Atlanta will have a snow event. If you look at SV Graphic 2 you can see the Snow and Rain events occuring. SV Graphics 9 will stay updated as the NWS changes its Weather Forecasting. What is going to happen is as the NorEaster develops and move up the Coast throwing moisture into the East Coast from the Atlantic and the Main Low located near Indiana continues to move East with Cold air on the back side. When these to Lows come to gether with the Cold air on the back side i see a very large snow event occuring from Boston North with very windy conditions also.
Gang, I do believe as far south as Atlanta (and maybe further south)will have Winter Storm problems with freezing rain and snow. I also see a very typical NorEaster developing bring a very large Snow event to the NorthEast. Both models are in aggreement to a strong low moving up the coast.
Today is going to be a very rough day for Florida as to many ingrediants are happening at the same time. When the squall line moves south, wind direction from directions will occur and cause spinning. Along with the Subtropical Jet and the Dip of the Northern Jet combined with the heating of the day with warm Temperatures and high humidities is spelling for MAJOR PROBLEMS WITH TORNADOS LIKELY! PLEASE LET FRIENDS AND NEIGHBORS MADE AWARE OF THIS STRONG POSSIBLITY FOR TODAY!

I am posting live Radar feeds that are Velocity Radar Loops that will show rotation for Tornado activity. Hope these help!








Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---Nothing major to report at 8:30am 11-30-08!


I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Updated: 14:07:GMT den 30. november 2008

Permalink

SNOW STORM WITH SEVERE WEATHER IN THE SOUTH VERY LIKELY!!

By: TampaSpin, 16:04:GMT den 29. november 2008



MANY PEOPLE HAVE DIFFERENT FAITHS, BACKGROUNDS, AND ORGINS THAT READ MY BLOG. JUST BECAUSE ONE SAYS MERRY CHRISTMAS DOES NOT MEAN YOU ARE DISRESPECTED. I HOPE ALL UNDERSTAND THAT!!



visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON



****SONG POSTED****
Faith Hill - Where Are You Christmas

Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

FAA Delays at Major US Airports



SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropical Season about to end!!!!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---NHC has one area of focus if you look at Graphic 1. This could take on Subtropical characteristics and move NE in time!

OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours!


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

SV GRAPHIC 1


SV GRAPHIC 2


SV GRAPHIC 3


SV GRAPHIC 4


SV GRAPHIC 5


SV GRAPHIC 6

Day 1 Text Link Day 3 Text Link

SV GRAPHIC 7


SV GRAPHIC 8


SV GRAPHIC 9



SV GRAPHIC 10

Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings

SV GRAPHIC 11


SV GRAPHIC 12


SV GRAPHIC 13
GFS MODEL

GFSx MODEL

NAM MODEL


SV GRAPHIC 14
Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 15
Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 16
Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 17


SV GRAPHIC 18


SV GRAPHIC 19


SV GRAPHIC 20
Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 21
Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 22
Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 23


WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---I warned on my Blog a week ago of what i was seeing developing as a Major Winter Storm at the end of the Thanksgiving going home travel time. Wow is it coming together into a strong Event that will produce delays in Travel Late Saturday thru Monday.
Look at SV Graphic 13 the GFS and NAM models. When looking at the loops, you can see a very strong LOW developing in the South. The LOW picks up Gulf of Mexico moisture and pulls it into MidWest, South and up the East Coast of the United States. Look at SV Graphic 5 to see the Low in the devlopment stages coming out of the Plains moving SouthEast. This low is pulling another round of cold air out of Canada into the MidWest and far South. Look at SV Graphic 14-16 and you can see what the National Weather Service is predicting for this Storm. You can see that NWS is predicting Snow as far south into Alabama and Georgia into the Mississippi River Valley and into the NorthEast.
Gang, it appears to me that a major storm system could affect Holiday travel plans Sunday and Monday is more likely looming. It appears to me that Late Saturday Nite things start to come together with the cold air and the moisture mix. I do believe as far south as Atlanta (and maybe further south)will have Winter Storm problems with freezing rain and snow. I also see a very typical NorEaster developing bring a very large Snow event to the NorthEast. Both models are in aggreement to a strong low moving up the coast.
There also appears, a very severe outbreak of severe weather with Tornados possible when the Jet stream dips very far south. Florida is under the gun and will likely have very severe widespread outbreak as a strong squall lines develops with the most severe weather IMO North of Tampa as the Jet Stream does not dip much further. Keep in mind, that the heating of the day before the front comes thru will increase the probability of severe weather with the collision of the cold sinking air and the raising air from the heating of the day. That unstable air along with the dip of the Jet Stream will cause severe weather. Folks in Florida must make sure there weather radios are on and working.
In my opinion we will possibly see a very large Snow event occur from the MidWest, South, and for sure in the NorthEast. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity as Airport delays could be coming.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---A Magnitude 5.4 - OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA just occured this morning at 08:42:19 AM (EST) - Eastern Standard.



I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Updated: 08:10:GMT den 30. november 2008

Permalink

MAJOR WINTER STORM COMING TO THE SOUTH AS FORECASTED!!

By: TampaSpin, 14:32:GMT den 28. november 2008



HOPE EVERYONE HAD A GREAT THANKSGIVING AS I DID! I WOULD LIKE TO CHALLENGE EVERYONE TO SPREAD YOUR FAITH THESE NEXT DAYS AND SUPPORT YOUR COUNTRY FOR ALL YOUR MIGHT! ONE CAN SEE THE EVIL THAT LIVES AMOUNG US FROM THE OCCURANCE THAT HAPPENED IN INDIA SHOWS!!



visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON




****SONG POSTED****
I Need You - Tim McGraw Ft. Faith Hill

Faith Hill - Breathe !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropical Season about to end!!!!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---NHC has one area of focus if you look at Graphic 1. This could take on Subtropical characteristics and move NE in time!

OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours!


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

SV GRAPHIC 1


SV GRAPHIC 2


SV GRAPHIC 3


SV GRAPHIC 4


SV GRAPHIC 5


SV GRAPHIC 6

Day 1 Text Link Day 3 Text Link

SV GRAPHIC 7


SV GRAPHIC 8


SV GRAPHIC 9


SV GRAPHIC 10

Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings

SV GRAPHIC 11


SV GRAPHIC 12


SV GRAPHIC 13
GFS MODEL

GFSx MODEL

NAM MODEL


SV GRAPHIC 14
Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 15
Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 16
Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 17


SV GRAPHIC 18


SV GRAPHIC 19


SV GRAPHIC 20
Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 21
Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 22
Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 23


WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---As i have forecasted for more than a week, it appears a significant weather system will occur toward the end of the Thanksgiving Weekend. Look at SV Graphic 13 the GFS and NAM models. When looking at the loops, you can see a very strong LOW in the South. The LOW picks up Pacific and Gulf of Mexico moisture and pulls it into MidWest, South and up the East Coast of the United States. Look at SV Graphic 5 to see the strong Low in the Far NorthEast. This low is pulling another round of cold air out of Canada into the MidWest and far South. These 2 Lows is bad news as the LOW in the NE pulls down cold temperatures and the LOW in the south pulls up moisture out of the GOM with the Cold air wrapping on the back side also, is spelling a possible very large snow and severe weather event coming. Look at SV Graphic 16 for the 3 day out forecast from the National Weather Service. Thats a very large area of snow forecasted.
Gang, it appears to me that a major storm system could affect Holiday travel plans Sunday and Monday is more likely looming. It appears to me that Late Saturday Nite things start to come together with the cold air and the moisture mix. I do believe as far south as Atlanta (and maybe further south)will have Winter Storm problems with freezing rain and snow. I also see a very typical NorEaster developing bring a very large Snow event to the NorthEast. Both models are in aggreement to a strong low moving up the coast.
There also appears, a very severe outbreak of severe weather with Tornados possible when the Jet stream dips very far south. Florida is under the gun and will likely have very severe widespread outbreak as a strong squall lines develops. Folks in Florida must make sure there weather radios are on and working.
In my opinion we will possibly see a very large Snow event occur from the MidWest, South, and for sure in the NorthEast. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity as Airport delays could be coming.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---A Magnitude 5.4 - OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA just occured this morning at 08:42:19 AM (EST) - Eastern Standard.



I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Updated: 06:27:GMT den 29. november 2008

Permalink

THANKSGIVING TRAVEL HOME COULD HAVE DELAY PROBLEMS IN AIRPORTS!!

By: TampaSpin, 06:10:GMT den 26. november 2008



HOPE EVERYONE HAD A GREAT THANKSGIVING AS I DID! I WOULD LIKE TO CHALLENGE EVERYONE TO SPREAD YOUR FAITH THESE NEXT DAYS AND SUPPORT YOUR COUNTRY FOR ALL YOUR MIGHT! ONE CAN SEE THE EVIL THAT LIVES AMOUNG US FROM THE OCCURANCE THAT HAPPENED IN INDIA SHOWS!!



visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON




****SONG POSTED****
I Need You - Tim McGraw Ft. Faith Hill

Faith Hill - Breathe !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropical Season about to end!!!!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---Invest 96L has went poof from Shear.

OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours!


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

SV GRAPHIC 1


SV GRAPHIC 2


SV GRAPHIC 3


SV GRAPHIC 4


SV GRAPHIC 5


SV GRAPHIC 6


SV GRAPHIC 7


SV GRAPHIC 8


SV GRAPHIC 9


SV GRAPHIC 10

Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings

SV GRAPHIC 11


SV GRAPHIC 12


SV GRAPHIC 13


SV GRAPHIC 14
Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 15
Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 16
Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 17


SV GRAPHIC 18


SV GRAPHIC 19


SV GRAPHIC 20
Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 21
Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 22
Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 23


WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---Look at Graphic 5 and one can see the West Coast is getting some welcome rain as the approach of a low is bring moisture very far south into California. Flood Watches and Flash Flood Watches have been posted for Southern California. It appears a significant weather system will occur toward the end of the Thanksgiving Weekend. Look at SV Graphic 13 the GFS model. When looking at the 10 day loop, you will see a very strong Sub-tropical Jet Stream in the South that picks up Pacific and Golf of Mexico moisture and pulls it into MidWest, South and up the East Coast of the United States. Look at SV Graphic 5 to see the strong Low in the Far NorthEast. This low is pulling another round of cold air out of Canada into the MidWest and far South. Florida will only see a slight cool down from this and then a warm up will occur.
Gang, it appears to me that a major storm system could affect Holiday travel plans this weekend as problems could be looming. It appears to me that late Sunday and Monday is when the the possiblity of some heavy rain will approach the MidWest, South and later up the East Coast. I currnetly don't know if enough Cold air will be in place to create Snow or freezing rain! But, for certain it is going to provide with some form of very heavy moisture in the areas as a Rain event is at least likely. Travel plans before Thanksgiving will not be a major problem but, going home on Sunday or Monday will be the problems in my opinion. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity as Airport delays could be coming.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---A few Earthquake hit in the Far South West Pacific Ocean.



I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Updated: 04:29:GMT den 28. november 2008

Permalink

INVEST 96L BETTER ORGANIZED AND WET SOUTHEAST DURING THANKSGIVING!

By: TampaSpin, 14:31:GMT den 25. november 2008



HAPPY THANKSGIVING TO YOU AND ALL YOUR FAMILIES. JUST REMEMBER THAT THANKSGIVING IS ABOUT GIVING. SOMETIMES SIMPLY GIVING A HUG IS AS IMPORTANT AS MONEY!!




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON



****SONG POSTED****
Foghat - Slow Ride

Dangerous-Roxette !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:INVEST 96L is better organized but, is running out of room before it can reach Storm status!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see that NHC has given 96L less than 200% chance for development. Looking at Garphic 16 (Shear Map) and the 4 day Shear forecast, Shear is forecast to increase North of 96L! Look at Graphic 21 (Sea Surface Temperatures) would suggest there is still plenty of warm Tropical Water in the Caribbean but, Shear will prevent much from happening! If you look at Graphic 10 (Steering Layer 700-850mb), one will see that 96L would have to travel West or maybe WSW. I really don't give 96L much of a chance to affect the ConUS and 96L is running out of room before moving inland to become a Storm. But, South America near Limon could have some very dangerous flooding. Folks in that area should be very cautious of this possibility. I give 96L a 20% chance of developing into a depression before moving inland into South America.






OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours!


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

SV GRAPHIC 1


SV GRAPHIC 2


SV GRAPHIC 3


SV GRAPHIC 4


SV GRAPHIC 5


SV GRAPHIC 6


SV GRAPHIC 7


SV GRAPHIC 8


SV GRAPHIC 9


SV GRAPHIC 10

Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings

SV GRAPHIC 11


SV GRAPHIC 12


SV GRAPHIC 13


SV GRAPHIC 14
Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 15
Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 16
Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 17


SV GRAPHIC 18


SV GRAPHIC 19


SV GRAPHIC 20
Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 21
Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 22
Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 23


WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---Look at Graphic 5 and one can see the West Coast could be getting some releif in some moisture soon as the approach of a low that should be far enough south to bring some Pacific Moisture to that area. It appears a significant weather system will occur over the Thanksgiving Weekend. Look at SV Graphic 13 the GFS model. If you look at the 10 day loop, you will see a very strong Sub-tropical Jet Stream in the South. Look at SV Graphic 5 to see the strong Low and how far South it brings the front south. Florida will only see a slight cool down from this and then a warm up will occur.
Gang, it appears to me that a major storm system could affect Holiday travel plans this weekend as problems could be looming. I don't know if enough Cold air will be in place to create Snow or freezing rain! But, one thing for certain is moisture will be in the area as a Rain event at least is likely. Arival times before Thanksgiving will not be a major problem but, going home on Sunday or Monday will be the problems in my opinion. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity as Airport delays could be coming.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---A Magnitude 7.0 Earthquake hit in the SEA OF OKHOTSK yesterday! If you look at the Tsunami warning map it is indicated at a high priority #1 but, no Tsunami occured and was closely monitored.

I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Permalink

WEATHER COULD MAKE TRAVEL A PROBLEM THANKSGIVING WEEKEND!

By: TampaSpin, 14:06:GMT den 24. november 2008

JUST WANT TO WISH MY BROTHER MARTY A HAPPY BIRTHDAY TODAY AND OTHER FRIENDS CELEBRATING BIRTHDAYS! REMEMBER TO CELEBRATE TODAY LIKE ITS YOUR LAST ONE WITH YOUR FAMILY AND LOVED ONES, AS YOU NEVER KNOW WHOM MIGHT BE GONE! ALWAYS REMEMBER TODAY AND YESTERDAY AND LIVE FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW! HAVE FUN AND ENJOY YOUR DAY! LOVE YOU MAN WITH ALL MY HEART!



visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON



****SONG POSTED****
Foghat - Slow Ride

Dangerous-Roxette !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:We have a new INVEST 96L!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see that NHC has given 96L a 20-50% chance for development. Looking at Garphic 16 (Shear Map) and the 4 day Shear forecast, Shear is forecast to increase North of 96L! Look at Graphic 21 (Sea Surface Temperatures) would suggest there is still plenty of warm Tropical Water in the Caribbean but, Shear will prevent much from happening! If you look at Graphic 10 (Steering Layer 700-850mb), one will see that 96L would have to travel West or maybe WSW. I really don't give 96L much of a chance to affect the ConUS. But, South America near Limon could have some very dangerous flooding. Folks in that area should be very cautious of this possibility. I give 96L a 50% of developing into a depression but, not likely to become a Storm as it moves West into South America.






OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---A blob is located at 8N 48W moving West. Shear is actually low in that area and slow development would be possible. I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours!


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

SV GRAPHIC 1


SV GRAPHIC 2


SV GRAPHIC 3


SV GRAPHIC 4


SV GRAPHIC 5


SV GRAPHIC 6


SV GRAPHIC 7


SV GRAPHIC 8


SV GRAPHIC 9


SV GRAPHIC 10

Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings

SV GRAPHIC 11


SV GRAPHIC 12


SV GRAPHIC 13


SV GRAPHIC 14
Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 15
Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 16
Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 17


SV GRAPHIC 18


SV GRAPHIC 19


SV GRAPHIC 20
Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 21
Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 22
Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 23


WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---If you look at Graphic 5, you and see the West Coast could be getting some releif in some moisture soon as the approach of a low that should be far enough south to bring some Pacific Moisture to that area. A very timely Winter Storm to the MidWest, South and East Coast will occur over the Thanksgiving Weekend. Look at SV Graphic 13 the GFS model. If you look at the 10 day loop, you will see a very strong Sub-tropical Jet Stream in the South. If you look at Graphic 14, you can see a high parked in the Western Caribbean which would not allow the Jet Stream to dip much further South. Alberta Clippers continue to spin SouthEast out of Canada. Look at the latest Clipper in SV Graphic 4.
Gang, it appears to me that a major winter storm could affect Holiday travel plans this weekend as problems could be looming. I don't know if enough Cold air will be in place to create Snow or freezing rain! But, one thing for certain is moisture will be in the area as a Rain event at least is likely. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity as Airport delays could be coming.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---A Magnitude 7.0 Earthquake hit in the SEA OF OKHOTSK! If you look at the Tsunami warning map it is indicated at a high priority #1 but, no Tsunami occured and was closely monitored.

I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Updated: 09:28:GMT den 25. november 2008

Permalink

STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM IN THE SOUTH BRINGING MOISTURE!!

By: TampaSpin, 15:38:GMT den 22. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON




****SONG POSTED****
Bonnie Tyler - Total Eclipse of the Heart
Eric Clapton - Wonderful Tonight !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropics are quite with nothing expected in the next 48 hours!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see the NHC has nothing developing in the next 48 hours. Look at Garphic 16 the Shear Map! I strongly agree with NHC and would suggest over the next few days i see nothing as strong shear takes over the Atlantic and now is taking over the Caribbean also. Look at Graphic 21 (Sea Surface Temperatures) would suggest there is still plenty of warm Tropical Water in the Caribbean but, Shear will prevent much from happening! Comuputer models do suggest a subtropical storm developing in the Mid Atlantic and heading out to sea.

OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

SV GRAPHIC 1


SV GRAPHIC 2


SV GRAPHIC 3


SV GRAPHIC 4


SV GRAPHIC 5


SV GRAPHIC 6


SV GRAPHIC 7


SV GRAPHIC 8


SV GRAPHIC 9


SV GRAPHIC 10

Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings

SV GRAPHIC 11


SV GRAPHIC 12


SV GRAPHIC 13


SV GRAPHIC 14
Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 15
Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 16
Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 17


SV GRAPHIC 18


SV GRAPHIC 19


SV GRAPHIC 20
Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 21
Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 22
Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 23


WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---If you look at Graphic 5, you and see the West Coast could be getting some releif in some moisture soon as the approach of a low that should be far enough south to bring some Pacific Moisture to that area. A very timely Winter Storm to the MidWest, South and East Coast will occur over the Thanksgiving Weekend. Moisture from the south could be a problem. Look at the MJO forecast map (graphic 18) and you can lots of moisture coming out of south from days 6-15. Look at SV Graphic 13 the GFS model. If you look at the 10 day loop, you will see a very strong Sub-tropical Jet Stream in the South. With the influence of Moisture that could be tapped from the GOM also, we could see a very large Thanksgiving Weekend storm. Lake affect snow will continue to be heavy in areas. Alberta Clippers continue to spin SouthEast out of Canada. Look at the latest Clipper in SV Graphic 4. It a perfect look at an Alberta Clipper as called.
Gang, it appears to me that a major winter storm could affect Holiday travel plans next week as problems could be looming. A very heavy freezing rain line could form near Atlanta and a major Snow Storm north of Atlanta seems possible. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---A 5.0 Quake hit near the BAha of California a couple of days ago. I do believe that larger quakes will be moving North from that point as Stress must be building North as nothing has been felt north of there above 3.5 in some time. This is just my opinion with nothing scientific to show but, just an observation of nothing that has happened in some time.

I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Permalink

MAJOR WINTER STORM COMING THANKSGIVING WEEKEND!!

By: TampaSpin, 02:19:GMT den 21. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON




****SONG POSTED****
Bonnie Tyler - Total Eclipse of the Heart
Eric Clapton - Wonderful Tonight !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropics are quite with nothing expected in the next 48 hours!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see the NHC has nothing developing in the next 48 hours. Look at Garphic 16 the Shear Map! I strongly agree with NHC and would suggest over the next few days i see nothing as strong shear takes over the Atlantic and now is taking over the Caribbean also. Look at Graphic 21 (Sea Surface Temperatures) would suggest there is still plenty of warm Tropical Water in the Caribbean but, Shear will prevent much from happening!

OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

SV GRAPHIC 1


SV GRAPHIC 2


SV GRAPHIC 3


SV GRAPHIC 4


SV GRAPHIC 5


SV GRAPHIC 6


SV GRAPHIC 7


SV GRAPHIC 8


SV GRAPHIC 9


SV GRAPHIC 10

Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings

SV GRAPHIC 11


SV GRAPHIC 12


SV GRAPHIC 13


SV GRAPHIC 14
Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 15
Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 16
Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 17


SV GRAPHIC 18


SV GRAPHIC 19


SV GRAPHIC 20
Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 21
Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 22
Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 23


WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---If you look at SV Graphic 23 you will see that the National Weather Service expects the MidWest, SouthEast, East and NorthEast Coast to have well below average Temperatures thru November 23rd. If you look at Graphic 5, you and see the West Coast could be getting some releif in some moisture soon as the approach of a low that should be far enough south to bring some Pacific Moisture to that area. A very timely Winter Storm to the MidWest, South and East Coast will occur over the Thanksgiving Weekend. This Storm could bring an even colder air that just occured. Its still a little far out to know for certain what will occur yet but, models are starting to suggest that a very strong system will develop. Look at the GFS model (SV GRAPHIC 13) above in this section to see the Major Winter Storm that is being forecast! Lake affect snow will continue to be heavy in areas while the North East could still recieve a light dusting over the next few days as Alberta Clippers continue to spin SouthEast out of Canada.
Gang, it appears to me that a major winter storm will affect Holiday travel plans next week as problems could be looming. A very heavy freezing rain line could form near Atlanta and a major Snow Storm north of Atlanta seems very likely. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---A 5.0 Quake hit today near the BAha of California. I do believe that larger quakes will be moving North from that point as Stress must be building North as nothing has been felt north of there above 3.5 in some time. This is just my opinion with nothing scientific to show but, just an observation of nothing that has happened in some time.

I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Permalink

WARM UP COMING BUT, WINTER STORM COMING THANKSGIVING WEEKEND!!

By: TampaSpin, 06:25:GMT den 19. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON




****SONG POSTED****
Bonnie Tyler - Total Eclipse of the Heart
Eric Clapton - Wonderful Tonight !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropics are quite with nothing expected in the next 48 hours!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see the NHC has nothing developing in the next 48 hours. I strongly agree with NHC and would suggest over the next few days i see nothing as strong shear takes over the Atlantic and now is taking over the Caribbean also. Look at Garphic 16 for the Shear Map! Look at Graphic 21 (Sea Surface Temperatures) would suggest there is still plenty of warm Tropical Water in the Caribbean but, Shear will prevent much from happening!
Computer models are still hinting at some tropical development in the South Central Caribbean in about 5-7 days. This could be because of the tail end of the cold front that stalls over the area. There is a strong possiblity for this to occur.


OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION



















Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings







Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!






Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!




WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---The Deep South and the East coast has 1 more nite of very cold weather before a little warm up starts to occur. By the weekend Temperatures will still be below Average but, better conditions should return in the MidWest, South and East Coast. If you look at Graphic 5, you and see the West Coast could be getting some releif in some moisture soon as the approach of a low that should be far enough south to bring some Pacific Moisture to that area. This same low will also be the culprit that could bring a very timely Winter Storm to the MidWest, South and East Coast Thanksgiving Weekend. This Storm could bring an even colder air that just occured. Its still a little far out to know for certain what will occur yet but, models are starting to suggest that a very strong system will develop. Look at the GFS model above in this section! Lake affect snow will continue to be heavy in areas while the North East could still recieve a light dusting over the next 2 days. It appears to me that a major winter storm will affect Holiday travel plans next week as problems could be looming. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---Several Mid size quakes have happened in the South Western Pacific over the past few days. I am still very concerned of a large Earthquake on the West Coast of the ConUS. One can see the activity and the limited activity in that area. I suspect pressures are increasing along the shelf plates from the lack of activity. This is just my personal observation but, just something to watch in the upcoming days, weeks and months.


I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Updated: 13:35:GMT den 19. november 2008

Permalink

THANKSGIVING STORM COULD BE COMING!!!

By: TampaSpin, 18:31:GMT den 17. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON



****SONG POSTED****
Chris Botti/Sting- What Are You Doing The Rest Of Your Life? !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropics are quite with nothing expected in the next 48 hours!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see the NHC has nothing developing in the next 48 hours. I strongly agree with NHC and would suggest over the next few days i see nothing as strong shear takes over the Atlantic and now is taking over the Caribbean also. Look at Garphic 16 for the Shear Map! The Tropics are finally shutting down and we might have seen are last Named Tropical System but, Graphic 21 (Sea Surface Temperatures) would suggest there is still plenty of warm Tropical Water. Shear will prevent much from happening! One thing of interest is that computer models are starting to hint at some tropical development in the South Central Caribbean in about 5-7 days. This could be because of the tail end of the cold front that stalls over the area. There is a strong possiblity for this to occur.


OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION



















Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings







Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!






Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!




WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---The cold front that came out of Canada is not going anywhere very soon in the deep south. Lake affect snow will continue to be heavy in areas while the North East could still recieve a light dusting over the next 3 days. Tempeatures will start to get warmer on Friday before another front comes next week just before Thanksgiving. Computer models are suggesting an even Stronger Cold front coming out of Canada into the ConUs for next week (Thanksgiving Week). It appears to me that a major winter storm will affect Holiday travel plans next week as problems could be looming. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---Several large quakes have happened in the Western Pacific over the past few days. I am still very concerned of a large Earthquake on the West Coast of the ConUS. One can see the activity and the limited activity in that area. I suspect pressures are increasing along the shelf plates from the lack of activity. This is just my personal observation but, just something to watch in the upcoming days, weeks and months.


I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Updated: 13:57:GMT den 18. november 2008

Permalink

TROPICS QUIT AS WINTER TAKES OVER WITH 90% OF ConUs BELOW 40 DEGREES!

By: TampaSpin, 14:08:GMT den 15. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON



****SONG POSTED****
Lovers and Friends - Usher feat Lil´Jon, Ludacris, Pitbull !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22


Graphic 23



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropics are quite with nothing expected in the next 48 hours!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see the NHC has nothing developing in the next 48 hours. I strongly agree with NHC and would suggest over the next 7 days i see nothing as strong shear takes over the Atlantic and now is taking over the Caribbean also. Look at Garphic 16 for the Shear Map! The Tropics are finally shutting down and we might have seen are last Named Tropical System but, Graphic 21 (Sea Surface Temperatures) would suggest there is still plenty of warm Tropical Water. Shear will prevent much from happening!


OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION















Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings





Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!






Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!



WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---A very strong Cold Front is coming south and into the East Coast. This will probably be the coldest weather of the winter season thus far. I expect in the deep south and the North East coast will have some severe weather. The severe weather along the North East coast is because a dip in the Jet stream into warm humid air. While South Florida from Sarasota South could have some severe weather as the sun heats up the surface and causes the air to raise and the collison of the cold front could cause for some severe weather. The National Weather Service has this area listed as a slight risk. Look at Grapic 15 to see the dip in the Jet Stream and you can also see it in the loops above. Everyone needs to make sure you have your Weather Radio's on and working.
It appears that nearly 90% of the ConUS will have overnite Temperatures Monday morning below 40 degrees. Wow, its only mid November!
Also, computer models are also suggesting an even Stronger Cold front coming out of Canada into the ConUs for next week (Thanksgiving Week). Mother Nature has opened the door and has a crack in it that might stay open until spring.
Will be interesting to see if Thanksgiving will have problems with a winter storm that could be looming. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link





IN SIMPLE TERMS:---One thing of interest unrelated to weather is my concern of a large Earthquake on the West Coast of the ConUS. One can see the activity and the limited activity in that area. I suspect pressures are increasing along the shelf plates from the lack of activity. This is just my personal observation but, just something to watch in the upcoming days or months.


I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
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VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Updated: 18:08:GMT den 17. november 2008

Permalink

INVEST 95L IS NO THREAT TO ConUS WHILE A MAJOR COLD FRONT HEADS SOUTH!

By: TampaSpin, 01:18:GMT den 14. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
free hit counters

I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON


****SONG POSTED****
James Blunt - Goodbye My Lover !!





LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22
Seismic Activity Live Link


Graphic 23


Graphic 24



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

--------------------------------------------
TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:We currently have a new INVEST 95L and a strong Cold Front heading South and into the East Coast!

INVEST 95L
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see the NHC has identified 1 area of focus as INVEST 95L. If you look at Grahic 10 (steering Map), you can see the Invest 95L should move West in the short term. Models also show the same movement. In about 48 Hours a strong cold front will roll into the South and Eastern Seaboard and should deflict 95L to the North and then NE back out to sea. I just don't see Invest 95L making it close to Florida, but i do think that 95L does have a chance to become a Tropical Storm into the Bahamas. Invest 95L is currently in moderate conditions as the Atlantic ocean in that area is plenty warm for a Major Hurricane, but Shear should keep 95L from developing rapidly as it is in about 15-20kts of Shear. I do expect 95L to slowly organize and develop into a Depression and make it to a Tropical Storm before moving North into hositle wind Shear. Look at Graphic 16 for the Wind Shear. At the time of this update NHC did not have a floater up but, i would expect Floater 1 to be used so i will go ahead and post some Satellite pics of the expected. If you look at Graphic 5, one can see the Cold front coming out of Canada into the Western Plains and coming South.














OTHER INTEREST
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---One thing of interest unrelated to weather is my concern of a large Earthquake on the West Coast of the ConUS. If you look at Graphic 22, one can see the activity and the limited activity in that area. I suspect pressures are increasing along the shelf plates from the lack of activity. This is just my personal observation but, just something to watch in the upcoming days or months.

I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed.

-----------------------------------------

SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

I will attempt to learn and produce updates on SEVERE AND WINTER WEATHER! This will be a work i progress but, I'm game for learning.









Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings




WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---A very strong Cold Front is coming south and into the East Coast for the Weekend. This will probably be the coldest weather of the winter season. I expect in the deep south some severe weather to break out including possible Tornado's. The above graphics will update automatically to post things as the National Weather Service updates it information. With the Humidty and very warm conditions in the south, this just spells big trouble. One thing to consider is the remements of Paloma is moving into the GOM and the collision of the Cold front could add some extra unstable conditions into Florida.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

The Plains and MidWest into the NorthEast could get its first significant snow for the season.

Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!







Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!





I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

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VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------

Updated: 14:28:GMT den 14. november 2008

Permalink

STRONG SHEAR LIMITS ANYTHING DEVELOPING!!!!

By: TampaSpin, 13:35:GMT den 12. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!



visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
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View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08




SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link


I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON


****SONG POSTED****
James Blunt - Goodbye My Lover !!




MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22
Seismic Activity Live Link


Graphic 23


Graphic 24



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

--------------------------------------------

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW: Quite time in the Tropics as Shear takes over!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see the NHC has 2 areas of focus and 1 area that i see becoming interesting. Look at Graphic 16 (Shear Map) to see the amount of Shear in the Atlantic. Things have little to no chance to form this time of year. Things that would form would need to be a fast spin up and very close to the ConUS.

The lower levels of Paloma is back into the Carribean as i said a loop would be possible and loop it did. If you look at Garphic 1, the #1 is the old remains of Paloma. It is still fairly organized as you can see in the Vorticity Graphic 17 south of Cuba. I am leaving up radar loops from Key West and Miami to monitor for anything to develop. The remains of Paloma lack much in convection and Strong Shear is to the North. It should track toward the West but, i see only a very slight chance for anything to develop because of the strong shear.



Also, in Graphic 1, NHC has #2 as something to monitor. This has no chance to develop as it should be sweep out to sea and is in strong shear.

One area of interest that i see is located at 10N 40W as this blob is in a low shear area and this blob should track toward the WNW in the next 48 hours. This could affect the Islands in the next few days.


OTHER INTEREST
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---I do believe we will see at least 1 more named storm this season before coming to an end. We could see the exact same thing happen again in about 1-2 weeks as this front stalls in the Carribean and something forms at the tail again!


One thing of interest unrelated to weather is my concern of a large Earthquake on the West Coast of the ConUS. If you look at Graphic 22, one can see the activity and the limited activity in that area. I suspect pressures are increasing along the shelf plates from the lack of activity. This is just my personal observation but, just something to watch in the upcoming days or months.

I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed.


I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------

Updated: 19:22:GMT den 13. november 2008

Permalink

PALOMA IS A VERY DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE WITH MODELS UNCLEAR!!

By: TampaSpin, 03:01:GMT den 08. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!



visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING
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View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08

SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link


I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON


****SONG POSTED****
James Blunt - Goodbye My Lover !!




MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22
Seismic Activity Live Link


Graphic 23


Graphic 24



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
PALOMA ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

--------------------------------------------

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW: We now have a very strong Hurricane Paloma. .

PALOMA
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---We now have Major Hurricane Paloma. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center about Paloma:
Paloma Forecast Discussion Link
Paloma Public Advisory Link



The track forecast
If you look at steering maps above use Graphic 14 Steering Layer 250-850mb or 940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms. The models are going every way one can imagine. Here is a link to get the current model runs...Forecast Models
If you look at Link to my favorite Satellite loop! you can see the approach of the trough streches thru Alabama and Georgia. The thing is tho if you look at the loop above, one can see the trough has not moved very much south during the last 6 hours. Throwing all the models out the door, my best guess is Paloma is going to miss the trough and high pressure will move Paloma West over Cuba. If she continues NE then the mid level spin will decuple from the lower level and the mid level continues NE while the lower level move NW. Take your pick as to which will happen because this has me very puzzled. I don't think i have ever seen a CAT.4 hurricane with models that disagree where it is going.

The intensity forecast
Paloma is a very dangerous Cat.4 Hurricane currently in my opinion and could become a Cat.5 for a short period. The waters are plenty warm in this area to support a Major Hurricane when looking at Graphic 21. Shear is not a current problem for a major Hurricane as shear is about 10kts. The further North Paloma gets the less favorable are the conditions as Shear increases dramatically to the north of Paloma (look at grapic 16).

In conclusion, we currently have a very strong dangerous Hurricane Paloma. I don't think Paloma could possibly hit the ConUS as a Hurricane as conditions to the north of its current location is very Hostile from Shear. I tend to think that Paloma could decuple as a storm with the mid levels moving NE while the low levels move NW as a necked swirl into strong shear. What could happen is Cuba could get hit by a major Hurricane as Cuba should prepare for such an impact as well as the Cayman Islands which is curretly feeling the impact of Paloma. South Florida including the Keys and the Miami Dade area could experience Tropical Storm force winds around 40-50mph.
















OTHER INTEREST
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---I do believe we will see at least 1 more named storm this season before coming to an end. We could see the exact same thing happen again in about 1-2 weeks as this front stalls in the Carribean and something forms at the tail again!


One thing of interest unrelated to weather is my concern of a large Earthquake on the West Coast of the ConUS. If you look at Graphic 22, one can see the activity and the limited activity in that area. I suspect pressures are increasing along the shelf plates from the lack of activity. This is just my personal observation but, just something to watch in the upcoming days or months.

I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed.


I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.
free hit counters

View My Stats
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08



---------------------------

Updated: 12:58:GMT den 12. november 2008

Permalink

PALOMA FORMS IN THE CARRIBEAN AS S. FLORIDA COULD FACE TROPICAL STORM FORC

By: TampaSpin, 18:55:GMT den 06. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!


Hughes Net
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING


SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
NFL SCOREBOARD Link
MLB SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
NHL SCOREBOARD Link
NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link


I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON


****SONG POSTED****
James Blunt - Goodbye My Lover !!




MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22
Seismic Activity Live Link


Graphic 23


Graphic 24



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
PALOMA ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

--------------------------------------------

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW: We now have Tropical Storm Paloma. For you frequent bloggers that visit my site, I spoke of this exact scenerio about 2 weeks ago with this development and location of Paloma. The exact thing could occur again as the front that picks up Paloma stalls.

PALOMA
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---We now have Tropical Storm Paloma and soon to be Hurricane Paloma. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center about Paloma:
Paloma Forecast Discussion Link
Paloma Public Advisory Link

Where is Paloma going? If you look at steering maps above use Graphic 12 Steering Layer 400-850mb or 970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms! Graphic 12 shows the steering that Paloma should move as a Hurricane or strong Tropical Storm. I see nothing to change NCH's forecast track of Paloma. What will cause it to move eventually NE and out into the Atlantic after crossing some of the islands to the North would be the approach of another Cold front coming from the WEST and diving South. If you look at Link to my favorite Satellite loop! you can see the approach of another possible front just hitting the WEST Coast of California. Also look at Grapic 5 to see the Water Vapor of this Front coming. But, its all about timing of the front and how far North Paloma gets. Currently Paloma is moving North at 7mph. She could get a little further North than the forecast track is showing!
How strong could Paloma become. The waters are plenty warm in this area to support a Major Hurricane when looking at Graphic 21. Shear is not a problem during the next 48 hours for Paloma to increase quickly as conditions are very favoarable for rapid intensifation to occur (look at grapic 16). I do expect at least a Cat.2 Hurricane to hit Cuba and possibly a weak Cat.3 Hurricane. South Florida could very well see strong Tropical Storm force winds from Paloma. So expect wide spread power outages to occur and be perpared to go days with out power. I would expect to see watches and warnings issued on Friday for South Florida and the Bahamas.
















OTHER INTEREST
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---I do believe we will see at least 1 more named storm this season before coming to an end. We could see the exact same thing happen again in about 1-2 weeks as this front stalls in the Carribean and something forms at the tail again!


One thing of interest unrelated to weather is my concern of a large Earthquake on the West Coast of the ConUS. If you look at Graphic 22, one can see the activity and the limited activity in that area. I suspect pressures are increasing along the shelf plates from the lack of activity. This is just my personal observation but, just something to watch in the upcoming days or months.

I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed.


I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!!

ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..



Hughes Net
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.


---------------------------

Updated: 19:01:GMT den 06. november 2008

Permalink

POSSIBLE STRONG NOREASTER COMING AND INVEST 93L ORGANIZING!!!

By: TampaSpin, 19:27:GMT den 03. november 2008

GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!


Hughes Net
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING


SPORTS SCOREBOARD LINKS WITH LIVE STREAMING SCORES FROM CBSSPORTSLINE.COM
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COLLEGE FOOTBALL SCOREBOARD Link
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NBA SCOREBOARD Link
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SCOREBOARD Link

LATEST NEWS FROM AROUND THE WORLD FROM:
WORLD AND US NEWS FROM FOX NEWS Link
WORLD NEWS FROM REUTERS NEWS Link


I have decided to add some music to listen while your lurking.......hope you enjoy and I will try something different each day!!!!
CLICK THE PLAY BUTTON



****SONG POSTED****
Cheap Trick- I want you to want me !!




MY FAVORITE RADIO STATION
620wdae The Sports Animal Link



ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22
Seismic Activity Live Link


Graphic 23


Graphic 24



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
INVEST 93L ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

--------------------------------------------

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar,

Paloma, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW: On my blog update on October 30th in spoke of a possible system that could develop in the Carribean. Looks like that possibiltity could become a reality. Also, a strong subtropical system could be forming!

INVEST 93L
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---Invest 93L is located in the SW Carribean. It is currently starting to organize a well defined spin at the surface but, does not appear to have anything closed yet. Many models are now suggesting a depression to form and some have even a Hurricane hitting Cuba. The waters are plenty warm in this area to support a Hurricane when looking at Graphic 21. Most models that have a storm forming take the system NorthWest for a short period and then North with and eventual turn to the NorthEast and out into the Mid Atlantic. If you look at steering maps above use Graphic 11 for now. If you look at Graphic 11 you can see why it would move in the direction i just described as you can see the very large high to 93L's NorthEast. What will cause it to move eventually NE and out into the Atlantic after crossing some of the islands to the North would be the approach of another Cold front coming from the WEST and diving South. If you look at Link to my favorite Satellite loop! you can see the approach of another possible front just hitting the WEST Coast of California. Also look at Grapic 5 to see the Water Vapor of this Front coming. But, its all about timing. How fast will the front get to the EAST coast to pick up 93L and how far North will 93L get before it feels the front. This is still to hard to say but, my best guess is there will be a good chance that 93L does develop and if it does develop into a named storm it would likely feel the High to the NE a little more and move more quickly to the north than models might suggest and possibly get into the Southern part of the GOM. But, its just to early to be certain of any this possibly occuring. One thing is for certain, South America will have some very have rain and either Cuba or other Islands to the North of 93L will have some impact of this developing system. Everyone needs to monitor this possbile developing system.











IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---If you look at the loop graphics from 6-8 you can see the start of a Subtropical system starting to form near the NE Bahamas as the developing system should move NNW and become are strong NorEaster. Nearly every major model suggest that a NorEaster goes up the East Coast and becomes very strong. Anyone from South Carolina North should watch for this developing system as it starts to wrap and take shape. Be perpared near the Outer Banks of North Carolina for very strong winds and coastline flooding and coastline erossion.









OTHER INTEREST
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---I do believe we will see at least 1 more named storm this season before coming to an end.


One thing of interest unrelated to weather is my concern of a large Earthquake on the West Coast of the ConUS. If you look at Graphic 22, one can see the activity and the limited activity in that area. I suspect pressures are increasing along the shelf plates from the lack of activity. This is just my personal observation but, just something to watch in the upcoming days or months.

I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed.


I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!!

ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..



Hughes Net
VISTORS LOG SINCE 9-1-08

visitor statsVISTORS CURRENTLY ONLINE VIEWING.


---------------------------

Updated: 21:35:GMT den 03. november 2008

Permalink

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