THANKSGIVING STORM COULD BE COMING!!!

By: TampaSpin , 18:31:GMT den 17. november 2008

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GO RAYS!!!!!>Go GATORS!!!!!

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****SONG POSTED****
Chris Botti/Sting- What Are You Doing The Rest Of Your Life? !!





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ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
NOT ACTIVE



Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

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TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropics are quite with nothing expected in the next 48 hours!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see the NHC has nothing developing in the next 48 hours. I strongly agree with NHC and would suggest over the next few days i see nothing as strong shear takes over the Atlantic and now is taking over the Caribbean also. Look at Garphic 16 for the Shear Map! The Tropics are finally shutting down and we might have seen are last Named Tropical System but, Graphic 21 (Sea Surface Temperatures) would suggest there is still plenty of warm Tropical Water. Shear will prevent much from happening! One thing of interest is that computer models are starting to hint at some tropical development in the South Central Caribbean in about 5-7 days. This could be because of the tail end of the cold front that stalls over the area. There is a strong possiblity for this to occur.


OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

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SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION



















Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings







Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!






Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!




WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---The cold front that came out of Canada is not going anywhere very soon in the deep south. Lake affect snow will continue to be heavy in areas while the North East could still recieve a light dusting over the next 3 days. Tempeatures will start to get warmer on Friday before another front comes next week just before Thanksgiving. Computer models are suggesting an even Stronger Cold front coming out of Canada into the ConUs for next week (Thanksgiving Week). It appears to me that a major winter storm will affect Holiday travel plans next week as problems could be looming. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

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SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---Several large quakes have happened in the Western Pacific over the past few days. I am still very concerned of a large Earthquake on the West Coast of the ConUS. One can see the activity and the limited activity in that area. I suspect pressures are increasing along the shelf plates from the lack of activity. This is just my personal observation but, just something to watch in the upcoming days, weeks and months.


I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




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12. RTLSNK
22:54:GMT den 18. november 2008
Hi Tim - just found out Orca is on day three of trying to quit smoking, how about we throw a Blog party on his blog tonight and give him so many hi's and hellos that he won't have time to think about smoking!! You guys always take care of each other, I will be there as often as I can, thanks, Chris.
Member Since: september 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 21285
11. tkeith
18:01:GMT den 18. november 2008
I heard Graham went down Tim, He's a good back. I think the Bucs, Saints, and Falcons are gonna take a backseat to the Panthers this year in the NFC south...What's up with all the Quakes???
Member Since: november 1, 2004 Posts: 25 Comments: 8936
10. RTLSNK
17:48:GMT den 18. november 2008
Hey Tim, great updates as always, I don't post that often but I check in here on a daily basis to get all the info I need before going to the Doc's blog! Saw your post about the snook gills after I posted the same thing. I was fishing off a small bridge over a salt water canal right in the middle of Fort Lauderdale on one of the major east west four lane roads called Oakland Park Blvd. Must have been a pretty funny site to see a 6' tall man jumping up and down and around with a fish stuck on his thumb for a few minutes!!hahaha
When I went to work Mon morning I told all the guys I had been attacked by a gator over the weekend, they all said with one voice - one of those small gators with the sharp gills huh?
Member Since: september 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 21285
9. ILwatcher
15:17:GMT den 18. november 2008
Lots of seismic activity in the Arctic Ocean all of a sudden!
Member Since: september 12, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 1644
8. icmoore
14:32:GMT den 18. november 2008
Good morning! You say an even stronger cold front possible next week and they're predicting 27 degrees tonight for my part of NE FL and we already broke one cold record here in Oct. It does really make me wonder what Jan. and Feb. are going to be like this year or maybe I don't want to know :) Thanks for all your info and I hope you have a great day!
Member Since: juli 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4146
7. Raysfan70
12:31:GMT den 18. november 2008
Good Morning {{Tim}}!
Posted all the local watches and warning for our area. Brrrr!
Have a Great Day!

glitter-graphics.com
Member Since: juli 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
6. InTheCone
10:35:GMT den 18. november 2008
Thanks Tim,

There isn't a drop of moisture left around here! Going to stay cool for the whole week, tropical season should be iver around here until next year - yea!
Member Since: september 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1990
5. ILwatcher
21:36:GMT den 17. november 2008
Thanks again, Tim. Always informative and interesting.

"What Are You Doing The Rest Of Your Life" beautiful song, and yeah, very good question!
Member Since: september 12, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 1644
4. ajcamsmom2
20:59:GMT den 17. november 2008
Okay, here is hoping the weather is great in the Bahama's over Thanksgiving...
Member Since: mars 15, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 2492
3. foggymyst
20:21:GMT den 17. november 2008
Hi Tim.. Thanks for the update. Love the winter weather casting. Just saw on CBS2.com (la) a 4.1 quake. Think you are on to something. Hope the best for them.
Member Since: september 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 383
2. Raysfan70
19:31:GMT den 17. november 2008
Good Afternoon {{Tampa}}!
As always thanks for the update.

It's only the first day of the cold temps and I'm ready for them to leave.
It's to early.

Have a Great Day! :-)
Member Since: juli 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
1. surfmom
18:48:GMT den 17. november 2008
Tim, your site just keeps getting better and better - fascinated by the seismic pics, the Tsunami charts -- and of course your great weather updates... can't wait to come back here after work and enjoy feeding my brain some more!!! -- I'm just loving all the information in one spot.
Member Since: juli 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536

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