MAJOR WINTER STORM COMING THANKSGIVING WEEKEND!!

By: TampaSpin , 02:19:GMT den 21. november 2008

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****SONG POSTED****
Bonnie Tyler - Total Eclipse of the Heart
Eric Clapton - Wonderful Tonight !!





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ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..


Graphic 1
LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NHC 48HR development Potential....



NHC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK Link

NHC TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION Link

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR Link

Graphic 2


Graphic 3



Graphic 4
NAM Model 60Hrs


Graphic 5


Graphic 6


Graphic 7


Graphic 8


Graphic 9


Graphic 10
Steering Layer 700-850mb or
1000mb pressure 45kt storms


Graphic 11
Steering Layer 500-850mb or
990-999mb pressure 45-60kt storms


Graphic 12
Steering Layer 400-850mb or
970-989mb pressure 60-90kt storms


Graphic 13
Steering Layer 300-850mb or
950-969mb pressure 90-112kt storms


Graphic 14
Steering Layer 250-850mb or
940-949mb pressure 112-122 kt storms


Graphic 15
Steering Layer 200-700mb or
940mb pressure 122 kt and larger storms


Graphic 16
Shear Map


Graphic 17
850mb Vorticity


Graphic 18
MJO Forecast


Graphic 19
Pressure Tendency


Graphic 20


Graphic 21


Graphic 22



GOES Floater Imagery – 30 minute updates with lots of views

Atlantic Floater 1 Link
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Atlantic Floater 2 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 3 Link
NOT ACTIVE


Atlantic Floater 4 Link
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Weather Calculator Link...Weather Calculator Link

LINK to the NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTERLink to my favorite Satellite loop!

GFS LONG RANGE MODELForecast Models

WINDSHEAR 4 DAY FORECAST

National Weather Service River Report Flooding

MJO Forecast from CPC

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TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION
Animations - 11

TROPICAL WEATHER SECTION

2008 Named Storms:
Arthur, Bertha,Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma,

Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred


IN SIMPLE TERMS OVERVIEW:Tropics are quite with nothing expected in the next 48 hours!

IN SIMPLE TERMS:---If you look at Graphic 1, you can see the NHC has nothing developing in the next 48 hours. Look at Garphic 16 the Shear Map! I strongly agree with NHC and would suggest over the next few days i see nothing as strong shear takes over the Atlantic and now is taking over the Caribbean also. Look at Graphic 21 (Sea Surface Temperatures) would suggest there is still plenty of warm Tropical Water in the Caribbean but, Shear will prevent much from happening!

OTHER INTEREST IN SIMPLE TERMS:---I see nothing else of issue in the next 48 hours.


Remember the National Hurricane Center are the Professionals and release complete updates at 11 and 5 on the hour and partial updates at 2 and 8 on the hour if needed. Also, the NHC identifies the Tropical Season from JUNE 1st THUR NOVEMBER 30th

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SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION


SEVERE WINTER WEATHER SECTION

SV GRAPHIC 1


SV GRAPHIC 2


SV GRAPHIC 3


SV GRAPHIC 4


SV GRAPHIC 5


SV GRAPHIC 6


SV GRAPHIC 7


SV GRAPHIC 8


SV GRAPHIC 9


SV GRAPHIC 10

Watch Type and box color:
Tornado - red **
Severe Thunderstorm - blue **
Watch Status Line - Yellow line
** dashed watches indicate watches within 90 minutes of expiration, or are TEST watches (i.e. a watch number in the 9990s.

Warning Type and Diamond marker color:
Tornado - red *
Severe Thunderstorm - blue *
Flash Flood - green *
* hollow diamonds indicate TEST warnings

SV GRAPHIC 11


SV GRAPHIC 12


SV GRAPHIC 13


SV GRAPHIC 14
Below is 24hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 15
Below is 48hour Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 16
Below is a 72hr Precipiation Map!


SV GRAPHIC 17


SV GRAPHIC 18


SV GRAPHIC 19


SV GRAPHIC 20
Below is a 24hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 21
Below is a 48hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 22
Below is a 72hour Temperature Map!


SV GRAPHIC 23


WINTER WEATHER
IN SIMPLE TERMS:
---If you look at SV Graphic 23 you will see that the National Weather Service expects the MidWest, SouthEast, East and NorthEast Coast to have well below average Temperatures thru November 23rd. If you look at Graphic 5, you and see the West Coast could be getting some releif in some moisture soon as the approach of a low that should be far enough south to bring some Pacific Moisture to that area. A very timely Winter Storm to the MidWest, South and East Coast will occur over the Thanksgiving Weekend. This Storm could bring an even colder air that just occured. Its still a little far out to know for certain what will occur yet but, models are starting to suggest that a very strong system will develop. Look at the GFS model (SV GRAPHIC 13) above in this section to see the Major Winter Storm that is being forecast! Lake affect snow will continue to be heavy in areas while the North East could still recieve a light dusting over the next few days as Alberta Clippers continue to spin SouthEast out of Canada.
Gang, it appears to me that a major winter storm will affect Holiday travel plans next week as problems could be looming. A very heavy freezing rain line could form near Atlanta and a major Snow Storm north of Atlanta seems very likely. If you are traveling please be aware of this possiblity.

Please use this link for immediate updates for warnings as they occur: Severe Weather Warning Link This link updates continously. It works very well!

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SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION


SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI ACTIVITY SECTION

Seismic Activity Live Link



Tsunami 1-Minute Water Level Data Link
TSUNAMI WARNING Link



USGS Link







IN SIMPLE TERMS:---A 5.0 Quake hit today near the BAha of California. I do believe that larger quakes will be moving North from that point as Stress must be building North as nothing has been felt north of there above 3.5 in some time. This is just my opinion with nothing scientific to show but, just an observation of nothing that has happened in some time.

I really appreciate the great comments you all leave. I try to always reply back if you leave a question or a REQUEST. And please leave comments on the Blog good or bad as all are welcome.


Thanks,

Tim...

Sites of other Interest i highly recommend your viewing:

CatastrophicDL's Emergency Preparedness Planning..CatastrophicDL Blog Link

quasigeostropic Hurricane and Weather 101..quasigeostropic Blog Weather 101 Link


KEEP IN MIND ALL GRAPHICS STAY CURRENT ALL TIME AND UPDATE AUTOMATICALLY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE. ALTHOUGH SOME GRAPHICS ARE NOT BEING USED CURRENTLY, IF SOMETHING WAS TO DEVELOP THEY WOULD BECOME ACTIVE IMMEDIATELY!
ALL GRAPHICS, SATELLITE PICS, STEERING AND MODEL MAPS UPDATE CONSTANTLY AUTOMATICALLY SO COME BACK TO REVIEW THESE GRAPHICS..




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6. Raysfan70
13:17:GMT den 22. november 2008
Happy Saturday {{Tim}}!
Have a Great Day! :-)
When I woke up this morning it was 40. Hope that it warms up soon. It's been cold way to long.
GOOD MORNING... Pictures, Images and Photos
Member Since: juli 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
5. RTLSNK
05:47:GMT den 22. november 2008
Hi Tim, great update, the pistol and the spider tonight was funny as all get out. I'm up to five of those wolf spiders now, wait till it hits 22* tonite, they all will want in the garage!! hahaha
Member Since: september 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 19576
4. ajcamsmom2
03:37:GMT den 21. november 2008
Thanks so much for the continued updates...
Member Since: mars 15, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 2490
3. TampaSpin
03:19:GMT den 21. november 2008
Animations - wink
Member Since: september 2, 2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
2. TampaSpin
02:43:GMT den 21. november 2008
Quoting RobDaHood:
Hey Tim,

So appreciate this page. Put a link up to you from mine, maybe all the puppy people will notice. - LOL

Great tunes!


Thank you very much...
Member Since: september 2, 2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
1. RobDaHood
02:32:GMT den 21. november 2008
Hey Tim,

So appreciate this page. Put a link up to you from mine, maybe all the puppy people will notice. - LOL

Great tunes!
Member Since: september 2, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 30694

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